skip to content


June 17, 2014
Predicting the risk of avian influenza A H7N9 - new paper

A new paper has been published today, Predicting the risk of avian influenza A H7N9 infection in live-poultry markets across Asia by Marius Gilbert et al in Nature Communications.

Two epidemic waves of an avian influenza A (H7N9) virus have so far affected China. Most human cases have been attributable to poultry exposure at live-poultry markets, where most positive isolates were sampled. The potential geographic extent of potential re-emerging epidemics is unknown, as are the factors associated with it.

Using newly assembled data sets of the locations of 8,943 live-poultry markets in China and maps of environmental correlates, we developed a statistical model that accurately predicts the risk of H7N9 market infection across Asia. 

The paper's findings are reported by the BBC News item, Bird flu 'danger zones' mapped.



View archived news